France and Germany Weather The Financial Storm
Amid the current international market turmoil, some countries are faring better than others. Germany and France are proving the strength of the continental European economies by weathering the tumultuous markets with business confidence in tact.
Last Wednesday saw Germany’s Ifo institute release figures which showed that the index has risen for the last three months consecutively, bolstering them to the highest level since August 2007.
The Insee statistical office in France reported similar happenings there, with business confidence being at there highest so far this year.
Analysts believe that the heightening of confidence in the two largest economies in the eurozone is indicative of a spurring economic movement.
The president of Ifo, Hans-Werner Sinn, said that the economy in Germany is gaining strength and that even with the euro trading so high, many companies are still expecting high revenues for exports for last month.
Figures are emerging now which seem to indicate that the eurozone has only been obliquely struck by the current international financial crisis. The housing market is still progressing with strength, whilst manufacturing in the region is also healthy, most notably in Germany. Europe’s largest economy is engineering, and according to figures released by the employer’s association, growth within the industry is at an 40 year high.
Whilst the U.S. dollar has been falling and higher interest rates in Europe have somewhat slowed the economy, European financial analysts are not predicting dark skies for the continents outlook. Inflation is at a 14 year high in the Eurozone , however the European Central Bank has left their interest rate at 4% and have not followed the trail left by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
According to the ECB president, Jean-Claude Trichet, it is the fact that the foundation of the Eurozone economy is so strong, and that they have a better balance, which has left the regions markets in a more stable condition than their counterparts across the Atlantic. Trichet also said that unemployment has fallen to a 25 year low.
The ECB president also went on to talk about the the fact that the euro was trading so well, and the rammifications that would have on trade. He stated that there shouldn’t be a great deal of change in rates or too many market moves as that would lead to a downward trend in economic growth.
A survey conducted by the Ifo showed that business had become more positive about current situations than they had previously been.
In Germany, March saw the index rise to 104.8 for March from 104.1 for February, which is the highest point since August last year. France also saw the business confidence index rise, from 107 in February to 109 now.
Though there are some countries in the eurozone which aren’t doing so well. Business confidence in Italy has fallen to the lowest point in two years.